POLL: What do you think?
Taking Marlins Nation's temperature with 25 games to play
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The Marlins head into tonight’s series opener against the Dodgers fresh off a much-needed 4-game sweep of the NL East cellar-dwelling Nationals. At 70-67, they stand 5th in the race for one of 3 NL Wild Card spots, but they’re just a half-game behind the D-Backs and Reds, who are currently tied for the final spot.
This series begins a stretch of 13 consecutive games against teams that are currently in playoff position, with 10 of the 13 coming against the 3 NL division leaders, the Dodgers (3), Brewers (4) and Braves (3).
Of the Marlins’ final 25 games, 16 will come against likely playoff teams (3 vs. Los Angeles, 3 at Philadelphia, 4 at Milwaukee, 3 vs. Atlanta, and 3 vs. Milwaukee). The other 9 games are against the 4th-place Mets (6) and Pirates (3).
According to FanGraphs, the Marlins currently have a 25.7 percent chance of making the playoffs. After opening the season with a 23.6 percent chance of reaching October, according to Fangraphs, Miami’s odds peaked at 74.4 percent at the All-Star break. The club was 53-39, a season-high 14 games over .500 at that point and stood atop the NL Wild Card standings with the 2nd-best record in the league behind only the Braves. Since then, the Marlins are 17-28, the 2nd-worst post-All Star break record in the NL ahead of only the Rockies.
I’ve taken your pulse a few other times this year. Let’s do it again as we head into the final stretch…
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Geff, I was away and missed the contemporaneous polls. I wanted to chime in with an 82-win prognostication and just missing the WC. Still, as you have noted more than once, it has been an engaging, fun season with many points of progress on the field and in the front office dealings. This applies to Sherman, his willingness to try/spend, and Kim Ng's risk quotient.
This is not over, the WC is in our hands. No matter what THIS TEAM FIGHT